Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 1, 2026
Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 · 8 Atlanta Braves. 17 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 9.5 | 1.98 | +10.7% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.61 | +4.3% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.31 | +39.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +38.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Miles Mikolas | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 2.06 | +27.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Reynaldo Lopez | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.69 | +24.6% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +16.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.48 | +16.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +14.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.92 | +9.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +7.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +4.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.86 | +2.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +2.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.37 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.