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MLB · Sun, Aug 2, 2026
San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres
Final score: San Francisco Giants 5 · 6 San Diego Padres. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.91 | +3.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Koss | San Francisco Giants | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +31.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Ty France | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +21.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler Mahle | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.64 | +19.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +17.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jung Hoo Lee | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.48 | +17.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Landen Roupp | San Francisco Giants | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.78 | +12.9% | 6 | WIN |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.88 | +12.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Heliot Ramos | San Francisco Giants | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Manny Machado | San Diego Padres | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +9.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Walker Buehler | San Diego Padres | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.17 | +7.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Luis Campusano | San Diego Padres | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.81 | +1.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | San Diego Padres | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +0.3% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving San Diego Padres or San Francisco Giantsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants | 10 | 30.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 7 | 14.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers | 2 | 100.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Miami Marlins at San Diego Padres | 6 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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