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MLB · Wed, Aug 5, 2026
Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Miami Marlins 1 · 4 Atlanta Braves. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 2.00 | +7.6% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.76 | +0.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +30.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +18.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +14.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +4.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Eury Perez | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.01 | +4.1% | 9 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 13 | 15.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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