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MLB · Mon, Aug 10, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 · 5 St. Louis Cardinals. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dobbins | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.26 | +66.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.27 | +47.7% | 6 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.04 | +16.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +16.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +13.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +10.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +7.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +7.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +2.3% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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