Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Aug 11, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 0 · 2 St. Louis Cardinals. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.42 | +8.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +52.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.93 | +49.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Blaze Jordan | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.58 | +44.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andre Pallante | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.08 | +35.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +22.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +22.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +18.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +18.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +15.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.47 | +11.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.64 | +10.7% | 7 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +9.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +7.0% | 1 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +6.9% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.