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MLB · Wed, Aug 12, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 1 · 7 St. Louis Cardinals. 11 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.44 | +10.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +34.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +24.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +24.6% | 3 | WIN |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +15.6% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +13.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +10.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 1.74 | +10.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +7.0% | 0 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.60 | +7.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +2.3% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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