Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Arizona Diamondbacks 3 · 5 Atlanta Braves. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.99 | +9.5% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.81 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James McCann | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +50.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.62 | +47.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.47 | +46.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +32.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +29.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Michael Soroka | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +24.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +17.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +16.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Elder | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.61 | +16.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +10.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +10.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Lars Nootbaar | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +9.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.42 | +9.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.45 | +7.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +7.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.99 | +7.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.08 | +6.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +6.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.36 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan Waldschmidt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.73 | +1.2% | n/a | PUSH |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Arizona Diamondbacksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.