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MLB · Sun, Aug 16, 2026
Washington Nationals at New York Mets
Final score: Washington Nationals 3 · 4 New York Mets. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.53 | +19.1% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.98 | +10.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.25 | +25.9% | 6 | WIN |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +18.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +5.4% | 0 | WIN |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.33 | +2.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Jacob Young | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.91 | +2.5% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 12 | 83.3% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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