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MLB · Fri, Aug 21, 2026
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Final score: Washington Nationals 2 · 3 Miami Marlins. 8 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 8.5 | 1.98 | +6.7% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.24 | +5.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.00 | +24.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +15.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Gusto | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.74 | +13.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Abimelec Ortiz | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +10.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jakob Marsee | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.52 | +9.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +6.8% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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