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MLB · Sat, Aug 22, 2026
Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals
Final score: Detroit Tigers 2 · 5 Kansas City Royals. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.85 | +8.0% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.91 | +7.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Anderson | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.66 | +46.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Eduardo Valencia | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.26 | +26.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Michael Wacha | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +23.0% | 6 | WIN |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +16.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jac Caglianone | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Troy Melton | Detroit Tigers | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.79 | +9.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| Nick Loftin | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.56 | +7.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.90 | +6.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Kevin McGonigle | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +4.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Colt Keith | Detroit Tigers | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.93 | +1.9% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Kansas City Royals or Detroit Tigersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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