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MLB · Sun, Aug 23, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Arizona Diamondbacks
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 3 · 5 Arizona Diamondbacks. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.74 | +3.0% | WIN |
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +0.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.24 | +47.7% | n/a | PUSH |
| Andrew Abbott | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.12 | +38.4% | 6 | WIN |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.55 | +22.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +14.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +14.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.07 | +9.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Corbin Carroll | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +9.5% | 5 | WIN |
| Nolan Arenado | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +8.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +8.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ildemaro Vargas | Arizona Diamondbacks | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.70 | +7.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Mitch Bratt | Arizona Diamondbacks | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +5.0% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Diamondbacks or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 38 | 57.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies | 24 | 37.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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