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MLB · Sun, Aug 23, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 · 6 Philadelphia Phillies. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.95 | +12.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Baez | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.60 | +96.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.35 | +75.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +65.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.44 | +40.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.90 | +35.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +27.6% | 4 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.83 | +27.2% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.56 | +16.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.57 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +10.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +2.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Everson Pereira | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.15 | +0.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.52 | +0.4% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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