Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Tue, Aug 25, 2026
Boston Red Sox at Miami Marlins
Final score: Boston Red Sox 7 · 3 Miami Marlins. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 7.5 | 1.95 | +3.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | under | 3.5 | 2.12 | +29.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +28.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willson Contreras | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +16.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Ceddanne Rafaela | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +13.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.14 | +11.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.66 | +4.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.46 | +2.0% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or Boston Red Soxthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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