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MLB · Wed, Aug 26, 2026
Baltimore Orioles at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Baltimore Orioles 8 · 7 St. Louis Cardinals. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +32.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +21.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.90 | +14.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +14.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Jimmy Crooks | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +13.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Jackson Holliday | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +7.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +7.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +6.3% | 6 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +1.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Baltimore Oriolesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 27 | 29.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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