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MLB · Thu, Sep 24, 2026
St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates
Final score: St. Louis Cardinals 1 · 2 Pittsburgh Pirates. 27 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7 | 1.95 | +7.1% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.34 | +0.0% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Bernal | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.56 | +81.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan O'Hearn | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.18 | +58.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.06 | +54.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +52.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Lowe | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.19 | +49.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +49.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Masyn Winn | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.11 | +42.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| JJ Wetherholt | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.43 | +41.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.03 | +39.4% | 3 | LOSS |
| Spencer Horwitz | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +33.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Nathan Church | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.24 | +31.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ivan Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.62 | +28.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +26.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Konnor Griffin | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.49 | +20.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Torres | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.01 | +16.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.38 | +14.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Thomas Saggese | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.27 | +14.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryan Torres | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.48 | +13.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.05 | +11.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan Reynolds | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.70 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Nick Gonzales | Pittsburgh Pirates | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.00 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Oneil Cruz | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +2.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Ivan Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.54 | +2.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Thomas Saggese | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.05 | +0.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ronny Simon | Pittsburgh Pirates | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.25 | +0.3% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Pittsburgh Pirates or St. Louis Cardinalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 12 | 33.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers | 16 | 37.5% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates | 7 | 28.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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