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MLB · Fri, Aug 28, 2026
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Final score: Miami Marlins 2 · 9 Washington Nationals. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.28 | +8.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Kent | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.27 | +37.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Brian Navarreto | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.96 | +31.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +22.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +13.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.37 | +12.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +5.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.69 | +0.0% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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