Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Final score: Miami Marlins 4 · 5 Washington Nationals. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.88 | +0.8% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.88 | +0.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +22.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +20.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sandy Alcantara | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.04 | +15.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.34 | +12.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.76 | +9.1% | 8 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Miami Marlinsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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