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MLB · Sat, Aug 29, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 3 Los Angeles Angels. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +51.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryan De La Cruz | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.26 | +37.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.28 | +32.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +22.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.80 | +22.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +21.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.53 | +18.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +17.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.63 | +17.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Painter | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.69 | +17.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.84 | +16.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Moises Ballesteros | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.54 | +14.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.77 | +13.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Reid Detmers | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.98 | +8.9% | 2 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Angels or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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