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MLB · Sun, Aug 30, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 · 2 Los Angeles Angels. 15 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.92 | +1.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.12 | +33.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.98 | +27.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +21.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.81 | +19.1% | n/a | PUSH |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.01 | +16.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Zack Wheeler | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.68 | +15.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.24 | +15.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.45 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.11 | +8.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +8.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +7.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Yusei Kikuchi | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.77 | +7.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| Travis d'Arnaud | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.62 | +2.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ryan Johnson | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +0.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Los Angeles Angels or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 5 | 20.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies | 8 | 12.5% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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