Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Mon, Aug 31, 2026
New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Mets 3 · 2 Tampa Bay Rays. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Stock | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.22 | +63.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Ian Seymour | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.69 | +57.8% | 10 | LOSS |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.35 | +28.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.03 | +20.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.41 | +14.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.12 | +14.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.86 | +7.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.32 | +4.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +3.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.2% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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