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MLB · Fri, Sep 4, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Atlanta Braves 5 · 2 Philadelphia Phillies. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 6.5 | 1.83 | +1.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.47 | +14.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.52 | +13.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Derek Hill | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.68 | +7.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.67 | +4.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.55 | +3.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Sean Murphy | Atlanta Braves | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.86 | +3.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.76 | +3.0% | n/a | PUSH |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.44 | +1.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.73 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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