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MLB · Sun, Sep 6, 2026
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Atlanta Braves 5 · 4 Philadelphia Phillies. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Stubbs | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +30.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.86 | +29.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +25.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Mahle | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.03 | +24.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.15 | +21.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.33 | +21.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Arraez | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.29 | +15.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Michael Harris II | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.10 | +15.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +13.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +7.2% | 6 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +3.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.68 | +1.8% | 0 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Phillies or Atlanta Braves that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Oct 7, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 23.3% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 26.7% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sat, Oct 3, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 2, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 10 | 50.0% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves | 30 | 36.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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