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MLB · Mon, Sep 7, 2026
Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Los Angeles Angels 2 · 5 Boston Red Sox. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.97 | +8.4% | WIN |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.55 | +0.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.42 | +35.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Jose Siri | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.09 | +31.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Vaughn Grissom | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.94 | +30.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adley Rutschman | Boston Red Sox | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.66 | +22.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Brayan Bello | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +22.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| Travis d'Arnaud | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.88 | +20.5% | n/a | PUSH |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +12.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.16 | +12.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Moises Ballesteros | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +11.2% | 7 | LOSS |
| Mike Trout | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +8.3% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Los Angeles Angelsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 10 | 40.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
| Tue, Sep 22, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 25 | 24.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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