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MLB · Wed, Sep 9, 2026
New York Mets at Miami Marlins
Final score: New York Mets 15 · 14 Miami Marlins. 10 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.95 | +9.1% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janson Junk | Miami Marlins | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.08 | +15.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Stowers | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.25 | +13.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Otto Lopez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +12.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.06 | +12.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Heriberto Hernandez | Miami Marlins | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.39 | +8.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bo Bichette | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.28 | +5.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.30 | +4.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Francisco Lindor | New York Mets | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.09 | +1.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Robert Stock | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.08 | +1.2% | 4 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Miami Marlins or New York Metsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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