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MLB · Fri, Sep 11, 2026
Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals
Final score: Los Angeles Angels 3 · 4 Washington Nationals. 14 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.64 | +0.0% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Grissom | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.08 | +35.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.74 | +34.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.27 | +32.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Adam Frazier | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.11 | +28.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.03 | +28.9% | n/a | PUSH |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.79 | +27.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 2.03 | +22.2% | 9 | LOSS |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.02 | +21.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.87 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yusei Kikuchi | Los Angeles Angels | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.97 | +15.6% | 5 | WIN |
| Zach Neto | Los Angeles Angels | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.20 | +13.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Heineman | Los Angeles Angels | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.23 | +3.4% | n/a | PUSH |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.69 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Nationals or Los Angeles Angelsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners | 27 | 22.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers | 28 | 32.1% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Los Angeles Angels at Athletics | 19 | 31.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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