Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
MLB · Sat, Sep 12, 2026
Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox
Final score: Kansas City Royals 1 · 5 Boston Red Sox. 7 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 8.5 | 1.90 | +8.6% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Dobnak | Kansas City Royals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.80 | +13.7% | 4 | WIN |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +7.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Wilyer Abreu | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 2.05 | +6.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | Kansas City Royals | Total Bases | over | 1.5 | 1.98 | +2.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ranger Suarez | Boston Red Sox | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.66 | +1.4% | 8 | LOSS |
| Roman Anthony | Boston Red Sox | Total Bases | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +1.1% | 2 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Boston Red Sox or Kansas City Royalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 17 | 41.2% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 25 | 40.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals | 9 | 22.2% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals | 28 | 42.9% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox | 19 | 21.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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