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NFL · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers
Final score: Chicago Bears 59 · 37 Carolina Panthers. 32 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 47.5 | 1.91 | +1.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.05 | +62.1% | 5 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 51.5 | 1.88 | +52.7% | 49 | WIN |
| Luther Burden III | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | under | 57.5 | 1.90 | +48.7% | 63 | LOSS |
| Colston Loveland | Chicago Bears | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.96 | +39.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Colston Loveland | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | under | 54.5 | 1.88 | +38.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.90 | +31.8% | 28 | WIN |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.98 | +26.8% | 8 | LOSS |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.92 | +24.0% | 138 | LOSS |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.61 | +22.8% | 2 | WIN |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.96 | +20.9% | 24 | WIN |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 59.5 | 1.90 | +20.7% | 75 | LOSS |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | over | 31.5 | 1.89 | +20.4% | 100 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.89 | +18.5% | 38 | WIN |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.18 | +18.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.89 | +17.0% | 35 | WIN |
| D'Andre Swift | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.94 | +16.3% | 10 | LOSS |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.83 | +15.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.93 | +13.5% | 84 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing Yards | under | 209.5 | 1.88 | +12.9% | 361 | LOSS |
| Cole Kmet | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.84 | +12.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | Receiving Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.88 | +12.4% | 52 | WIN |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.86 | +12.4% | 25 | WIN |
| Xavier Legette | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.87 | +11.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Rome Odunze | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +10.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kyle Monangai | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.79 | +10.5% | 2 | WIN |
| Xavier Legette | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.43 | +8.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.66 | +6.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.93 | +4.2% | 2 | LOSS |
| Kalif Raymond | Chicago Bears | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.89 | +3.1% | 8 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +2.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | Rushing Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.88 | +1.9% | 65 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Carolina Panthers or Chicago Bearsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears | 50 | 66.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons | 17 | 47.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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