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NFL · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Final score: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 43 · 13 Carolina Panthers. 39 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Metchie III | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.22 | +74.9% | 2 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 68.5 | 1.91 | +66.9% | 33 | WIN |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.92 | +65.1% | 33 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 67.5 | 1.89 | +64.0% | 33 | WIN |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 28.5 | 1.87 | +63.0% | 33 | LOSS |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.11 | +60.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tez Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.68 | +49.8% | 2 | WIN |
| John Metchie III | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.94 | +48.4% | 20 | WIN |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | over | 16.5 | 1.88 | +43.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Ted Hurst III | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.26 | +42.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 69.5 | 1.90 | +37.4% | 9 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.87 | +34.4% | 27 | LOSS |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 68.5 | 1.88 | +34.1% | 9 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 39.5 | 1.92 | +32.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.87 | +31.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.89 | +31.4% | 27 | LOSS |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.79 | +28.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.87 | +26.3% | 50 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.90 | +25.6% | 50 | WIN |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.86 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | over | 13.5 | 1.90 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.88 | +22.2% | 9 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.93 | +20.4% | 9 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.76 | +19.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Passing Yards | under | 216.5 | 1.90 | +16.7% | 64 | WIN |
| Bucky Irving | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.27 | +15.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ted Hurst III | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.90 | +15.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.71 | +14.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.35 | +14.1% | 1 | LOSS |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Passing Yards | under | 213.5 | 1.90 | +13.9% | 64 | WIN |
| Kenny Gainwell | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | over | 10.5 | 1.86 | +13.5% | 88 | WIN |
| Cade Otton | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.28 | +12.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.49 | +11.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Baker Mayfield | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.58 | +11.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Ted Hurst III | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 37.5 | 1.88 | +10.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Bucky Irving | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Receiving Yards | under | 17.5 | 1.88 | +9.3% | 4 | WIN |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.88 | +7.8% | 8 | WIN |
| Bucky Irving | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Rushing Yards | under | 65.5 | 1.91 | +5.8% | 106 | LOSS |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing Yards | over | 253.5 | 1.90 | +4.8% | 163 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Carolina Panthers or Tampa Bay Buccaneers that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 33 | 54.5% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 9, 2026 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys | 24 | 62.5% | View → |
| Mon, Oct 5, 2026 | Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers | 26 | 69.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 35 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns | 43 | 46.5% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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