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NFL · Sun, Nov 8, 2026
Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
Final score: Denver Broncos 26 · 21 Carolina Panthers. 41 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 3 | 2.00 | +0.3% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.70 | +0.2% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.82 | +76.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Trevor Etienne | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 6.5 | 1.91 | +65.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 69.5 | 1.89 | +62.0% | 79 | LOSS |
| Trevor Etienne | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 5.5 | 1.96 | +61.5% | 7 | LOSS |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 26.5 | 1.92 | +60.8% | 18 | LOSS |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 67.5 | 1.89 | +59.4% | 79 | LOSS |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.88 | +59.0% | 18 | LOSS |
| Pat Bryant | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.92 | +58.4% | 56 | WIN |
| Pat Bryant | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 22.5 | 1.92 | +56.1% | 56 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.92 | +40.9% | 17 | WIN |
| John Metchie III | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.78 | +38.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 18.5 | 1.89 | +36.3% | 90 | WIN |
| Pat Bryant | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.40 | +33.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.43 | +33.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.81 | +29.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| John Metchie III | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.93 | +27.1% | 40 | WIN |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.02 | +27.0% | 4 | WIN |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.80 | +26.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.94 | +22.6% | 31 | WIN |
| Chuba Hubbard | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.18 | +20.4% | 4 | LOSS |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.91 | +15.8% | 45 | WIN |
| Darren Waller | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.66 | +14.8% | 8 | WIN |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.52 | +13.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 47.5 | 1.88 | +11.8% | 22 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Rushing Yards | under | 8.5 | 1.93 | +10.3% | 13 | LOSS |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.92 | +10.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.85 | +9.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing Yards | under | 228.5 | 1.88 | +9.6% | 276 | LOSS |
| Tommy Tremble | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.90 | +9.5% | 24 | LOSS |
| Tetairoa McMillan | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 2.24 | +9.4% | 4 | WIN |
| Bryce Young | Carolina Panthers | Passing Yards | under | 226.5 | 1.90 | +9.1% | 276 | LOSS |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.88 | +9.1% | 45 | WIN |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 53.5 | 1.88 | +8.5% | 29 | WIN |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.92 | +8.3% | 33 | LOSS |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.86 | +8.3% | 33 | LOSS |
| Mitchell Evans | Carolina Panthers | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.81 | +8.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | under | 52.5 | 1.88 | +6.3% | 29 | WIN |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.56 | +4.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Mitchell Evans | Carolina Panthers | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.89 | +2.3% | 20 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Carolina Panthers or Denver Broncos that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos | 21 | 71.4% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 30, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers | 29 | 34.5% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals | 35 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers | 39 | 69.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles | 24 | 41.7% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos | 35 | 57.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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