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NFL · Sun, Sep 13, 2026
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Final score: Washington Commanders 22 · 24 Philadelphia Eagles. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -6 | 1.93 | +5.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 65.5 | 1.88 | +33.7% | 53 | WIN |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | under | 76.5 | 1.89 | +30.9% | 83 | LOSS |
| DeVonta Smith | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.76 | +28.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.92 | +20.8% | 22 | LOSS |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.68 | +17.1% | 4 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 40.5 | 1.90 | +16.3% | 55 | WIN |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +15.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.92 | +14.2% | 73 | LOSS |
| Dontayvion Wicks | Philadelphia Eagles | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.88 | +12.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 2.26 | +11.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | under | 29.5 | 1.89 | +9.7% | 46 | LOSS |
| Tank Bigsby | Philadelphia Eagles | Rushing Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.90 | +9.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | Passing Yards | under | 199.5 | 1.89 | +8.3% | 164 | WIN |
| Dallas Goedert | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.88 | +7.2% | 77 | LOSS |
| Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.67 | +6.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Chig Okonkwo | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 25.5 | 1.87 | +5.2% | 16 | LOSS |
| Jalen Hurts | Philadelphia Eagles | Passing Yards | under | 212.5 | 1.88 | +4.5% | 203 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.28 | +2.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Saquon Barkley | Philadelphia Eagles | Receiving Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.90 | +2.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 50.5 | 1.88 | +1.4% | 14 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Philadelphia Eagles or Washington Commandersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Sep 29, 2026 | Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears | 50 | 66.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders | 31 | 77.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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