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MLB · Sat, Sep 19, 2026
Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals
Final score: Washington Nationals 9 · 5 St. Louis Cardinals. 13 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 1.86 | +3.9% | WIN |
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.09 | +1.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +44.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Leonardo Bernal | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.72 | +38.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Abrams | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +31.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| James Wood | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.91 | +30.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brady House | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.24 | +30.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Daylen Lile | Washington Nationals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.92 | +26.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Alec Burleson | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.43 | +24.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jordan Walker | St. Louis Cardinals | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.43 | +17.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 2.23 | +9.1% | 8 | WIN |
| Michael McGreevy | St. Louis Cardinals | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.71 | +3.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Cade Cavalli | Washington Nationals | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.73 | +2.0% | 6 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving St. Louis Cardinals or Washington Nationalsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 3 | 33.3% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 23 | 43.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers | 26 | 42.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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