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MLB · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets
Final score: Philadelphia Phillies 7 · 2 New York Mets. 9 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 2.41 | +0.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | New York Mets | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.34 | +54.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.71 | +19.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.73 | +15.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.45 | +14.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonah Tong | New York Mets | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.98 | +8.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | over | 6.5 | 2.18 | +8.0% | 6 | LOSS |
| A.J. Ewing | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +2.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.56 | +0.4% | 1 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving New York Mets or Philadelphia Philliesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 17 | 52.9% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | New York Mets at Washington Nationals | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | New York Mets at Texas Rangers | 15 | 46.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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