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MLB · Tue, Sep 22, 2026
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles
Final score: Toronto Blue Jays 3 · 4 Baltimore Orioles. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.82 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.09 | +46.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Pete Alonso | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.86 | +41.3% | 3 | WIN |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.59 | +38.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.40 | +31.2% | 0 | WIN |
| Jeremiah Jackson | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +22.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nathan Lukes | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.95 | +21.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.88 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Dylan Beavers | Baltimore Orioles | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +12.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Andres Gimenez | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.39 | +10.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Josh Smith | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.97 | +10.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Coby Mayo | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.22 | +9.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Dylan Beavers | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.22 | +8.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Colton Cowser | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.87 | +8.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Alejandro Kirk | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.80 | +5.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| George Springer | Toronto Blue Jays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.59 | +4.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.10 | +2.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Gunnar Henderson | Baltimore Orioles | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.48 | +1.9% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Baltimore Orioles or Toronto Blue Jays that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 21, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 37.5% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 19, 2026 | Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers | 14 | 64.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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