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MLB · Tue, Sep 22, 2026
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
Final score: Cincinnati Reds 4 · 0 Atlanta Braves. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.52 | +3.4% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Jorge | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.34 | +49.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Brandon Williamson | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 2.5 | 1.71 | +34.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Ha-Seong Kim | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.92 | +33.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.90 | +28.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ozzie Albies | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.98 | +19.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Matt McLain | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.07 | +12.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Austin Riley | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.44 | +11.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tyler Stephenson | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.41 | +10.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| JR Ritchie | Atlanta Braves | Strikeouts | under | 4.5 | 2.03 | +10.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| Matt Olson | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.87 | +8.8% | 1 | LOSS |
| Sean Murphy | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.06 | +8.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Eugenio Suarez | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.22 | +7.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Mauricio Dubon | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.87 | +4.9% | 1 | LOSS |
| Hector Rodriguez | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +3.4% | 0 | WIN |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | Atlanta Braves | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +2.9% | 0 | WIN |
| JJ Bleday | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.19 | +2.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.79 | +1.4% | 1 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Atlanta Braves or Cincinnati Redsthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 14 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 11 | 63.6% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins | 4 | 75.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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