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NFL · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Final score: Las Vegas Raiders 35 · 27 New Orleans Saints. 38 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 43.5 | 1.98 | +5.7% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.91 | +58.9% | 53 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 34.5 | 1.87 | +57.3% | 53 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.08 | +49.2% | 8 | WIN |
| Jalen Nailor | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 24.5 | 1.90 | +39.8% | 16 | WIN |
| Kirk Cousins | Las Vegas Raiders | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.40 | +39.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing Yards | under | 69.5 | 1.90 | +38.0% | 56 | WIN |
| Jalen Nailor | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.65 | +37.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.19 | +35.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 253.5 | 1.90 | +30.1% | 255 | WIN |
| Tre Tucker | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 41.5 | 1.88 | +25.7% | 43 | LOSS |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 2.18 | +24.8% | 9 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.86 | +24.6% | 36 | WIN |
| Tre Tucker | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.92 | +24.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Tre Tucker | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 40.5 | 1.88 | +23.3% | 43 | LOSS |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 12.5 | 1.92 | +23.2% | 33 | LOSS |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.78 | +23.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.61 | +22.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.88 | +21.7% | 57 | WIN |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 39.5 | 1.91 | +20.8% | 57 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.76 | +19.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 5.5 | 1.65 | +18.5% | 9 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 77.5 | 1.88 | +18.4% | 107 | WIN |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.88 | +18.1% | 39 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 79.5 | 1.91 | +17.1% | 107 | WIN |
| Kirk Cousins | Las Vegas Raiders | Passing Yards | under | 212.5 | 1.88 | +15.8% | 248 | LOSS |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.88 | +15.7% | 13 | WIN |
| Travis Etienne Jr. | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 9.5 | 1.93 | +15.2% | 13 | WIN |
| Kirk Cousins | Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing Yards | under | 1.5 | 1.94 | +14.9% | 3 | LOSS |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing Yards | under | 68.5 | 1.90 | +13.8% | 56 | WIN |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 49.5 | 1.88 | +12.6% | 39 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +9.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 76.5 | 1.89 | +9.5% | 107 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 254.5 | 1.90 | +6.7% | 255 | WIN |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.83 | +2.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.92 | +2.0% | 37 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 22.5 | 1.92 | +1.5% | 37 | LOSS |
| Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.88 | +0.3% | 32 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New Orleans Saints or Las Vegas Raidersthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders | 20 | 45.0% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions | 21 | 33.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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