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NFL · Sun, Nov 8, 2026
Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Final score: Cleveland Browns 22 · 23 New Orleans Saints. 34 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 42.5 | 1.91 | +4.9% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | under | 68.5 | 1.91 | +57.0% | 43 | WIN |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | under | 67.5 | 1.88 | +52.6% | 43 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 26.5 | 1.87 | +52.0% | 34 | WIN |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.19 | +50.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.88 | +49.3% | 34 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.29 | +41.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | under | 38.5 | 1.90 | +39.2% | 32 | WIN |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.66 | +32.5% | 2 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 222.5 | 1.88 | +28.2% | 265 | WIN |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.61 | +27.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Shedeur Sanders | Cleveland Browns | Passing Yards | under | 191.5 | 1.90 | +26.7% | 297 | LOSS |
| Dylan Sampson | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.93 | +25.3% | 21 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 226.5 | 1.88 | +24.7% | 265 | WIN |
| Shedeur Sanders | Cleveland Browns | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.43 | +23.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Shedeur Sanders | Cleveland Browns | Passing Yards | under | 187.5 | 1.89 | +23.2% | 297 | LOSS |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 2.5 | 1.89 | +22.1% | 12 | WIN |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.66 | +19.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jerry Jeudy | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.89 | +17.7% | 37 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 46.5 | 1.90 | +16.2% | 85 | LOSS |
| Dylan Sampson | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.85 | +16.0% | 21 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 73.5 | 1.90 | +15.2% | 98 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 5.5 | 1.81 | +13.3% | 7 | WIN |
| KC Concepcion | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.85 | +11.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Dylan Sampson | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.25 | +11.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +9.6% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 15.5 | 1.94 | +8.4% | 51 | WIN |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 19.5 | 1.85 | +7.6% | 17 | WIN |
| Quinshon Judkins | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.92 | +6.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Shedeur Sanders | Cleveland Browns | Rushing Yards | under | 18.5 | 1.90 | +6.3% | 28 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +5.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.75 | +2.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 37.5 | 1.88 | +0.9% | 17 | LOSS |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Cleveland Browns | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.92 | +0.2% | 42 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New Orleans Saints or Cleveland Browns that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Nov 1, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers | 32 | 56.2% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans | 35 | 42.9% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints | 46 | 54.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | New Orleans Saints at New York Giants | 40 | 30.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns | 36 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at New York Jets | 42 | 66.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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