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NFL · Sun, Oct 18, 2026
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
Final score: New Orleans Saints 34 · 27 New York Giants. 40 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | 1.5 | 1.82 | +7.7% | LOSS |
| Moneyline | home | 0 | 1.91 | +6.7% | LOSS |
| Spread | home | -1.5 | 2.02 | +6.2% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | under | 53.5 | 1.90 | +53.3% | 99 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 5.5 | 1.92 | +51.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 4.5 | 1.85 | +49.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Isaiah Likely | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.79 | +44.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| Kendre Miller | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | under | 34.5 | 1.92 | +37.8% | 70 | LOSS |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 41.5 | 1.91 | +30.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 42.5 | 1.88 | +25.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 227.5 | 1.90 | +25.3% | 144 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 11.5 | 1.86 | +20.1% | 32 | WIN |
| Malik Nabers | New York Giants | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 2.08 | +20.0% | 12 | LOSS |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.67 | +19.9% | 3 | WIN |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.01 | +19.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Juwan Johnson | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.22 | +18.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing Yards | over | 235.5 | 1.90 | +17.9% | 144 | LOSS |
| Najee Harris | New York Giants | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.85 | +17.4% | 2 | LOSS |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.92 | +16.6% | 35 | LOSS |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.86 | +16.1% | 32 | WIN |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 19.5 | 1.89 | +15.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.71 | +14.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.87 | +13.8% | 19 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.88 | +10.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Lance | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.93 | +10.4% | 9 | LOSS |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.87 | +10.0% | 19 | LOSS |
| Malachi Fields | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.61 | +9.3% | 2 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 2.17 | +9.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| Darnell Mooney | New York Giants | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.77 | +8.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 221.5 | 1.89 | +8.6% | 152 | WIN |
| Bryce Lance | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.23 | +8.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Tyler Shough | New Orleans Saints | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.80 | +7.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jameis Winston | New York Giants | Passing Yards | under | 220.5 | 1.88 | +7.3% | 152 | WIN |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 78.5 | 1.88 | +7.0% | 43 | LOSS |
| Chris Olave | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | over | 79.5 | 1.91 | +7.0% | 43 | LOSS |
| Devaughn Vele | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 43.5 | 1.89 | +6.4% | 42 | WIN |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.13 | +5.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| CJ Donaldson | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.88 | +5.6% | 39 | WIN |
| Noah Fant | New Orleans Saints | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.93 | +4.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | Rushing Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.93 | +1.7% | 34 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Giants or New Orleans Saints that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | New York Giants at Washington Commanders | 39 | 36.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints | 31 | 51.6% | View → |
| Tue, Oct 6, 2026 | Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints | 17 | 47.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tennessee Titans at New York Giants | 41 | 70.7% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints | 38 | 71.1% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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