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NFL · Sun, Nov 1, 2026
Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
Final score: Las Vegas Raiders 38 · 33 New York Jets. 21 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game Total | under | 46.5 | 1.89 | +0.8% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | New York Jets | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.91 | +37.5% | 142 | WIN |
| Jalen Nailor | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.14 | +35.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| Adonai Mitchell | New York Jets | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.64 | +31.3% | 7 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | over | 27.5 | 1.89 | +22.0% | 64 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | over | 28.5 | 1.93 | +21.4% | 64 | WIN |
| Jalen Nailor | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 17.5 | 1.88 | +19.5% | 38 | LOSS |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.82 | +16.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Mayer | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.62 | +13.0% | 5 | WIN |
| Kenyon Sadiq | New York Jets | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.58 | +12.2% | 1 | LOSS |
| Tre Tucker | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.97 | +7.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Geno Smith | New York Jets | Passing Yards | under | 225.5 | 1.89 | +6.2% | 290 | LOSS |
| Mike Washington Jr. | Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing Yards | under | 32.5 | 1.89 | +5.7% | 83 | LOSS |
| Brock Bowers | Las Vegas Raiders | Receptions | under | 6.5 | 1.78 | +5.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| Geno Smith | New York Jets | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.85 | +5.3% | 2 | LOSS |
| Mason Taylor | New York Jets | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.90 | +4.3% | 19 | LOSS |
| Geno Smith | New York Jets | Passing Yards | under | 223.5 | 1.89 | +4.0% | 290 | LOSS |
| Garrett Wilson | New York Jets | Receptions | under | 5.5 | 1.79 | +3.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| Tre Tucker | Las Vegas Raiders | Receiving Yards | under | 46.5 | 1.88 | +2.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Ashton Jeanty | Las Vegas Raiders | Rushing Yards | under | 51.5 | 1.87 | +1.6% | 9 | WIN |
| Kirk Cousins | Las Vegas Raiders | Passing Yards | under | 240.5 | 1.90 | +0.8% | 247 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving New York Jets or Las Vegas Raiders that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders | 21 | 81.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Miami Dolphins at New York Jets | 30 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders | 30 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | New York Jets at New England Patriots | 34 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Cleveland Browns at New York Jets | 42 | 66.7% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots | 38 | 44.7% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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