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NFL · Sun, Sep 27, 2026
Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders
Final score: Seattle Seahawks 31 · 33 Washington Commanders. 31 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 7.5 | 1.93 | +8.9% | LOSS |
| Spread | away | 7 | 1.87 | +8.4% | LOSS |
| Spread | away | 8.5 | 1.95 | +7.8% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 40.5 | 1.98 | +3.8% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 27.5 | 1.91 | +52.8% | 14 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 26.5 | 1.90 | +50.9% | 14 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 25.5 | 1.92 | +50.2% | 14 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | over | 18.5 | 1.94 | +42.9% | 35 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | over | 19.5 | 1.91 | +37.3% | 35 | WIN |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 40.5 | 1.90 | +37.2% | 77 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.93 | +36.8% | 6 | WIN |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 41.5 | 1.89 | +33.9% | 77 | WIN |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 39.5 | 1.87 | +33.3% | 36 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.74 | +32.5% | 2 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.88 | +24.1% | 5 | WIN |
| Rachaad White | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.96 | +22.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.86 | +20.8% | 46 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 1.65 | +18.9% | 4 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.88 | +17.2% | 69 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.87 | +17.0% | 46 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 35.5 | 1.88 | +16.6% | 33 | LOSS |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | Washington Commanders | Rushing Yards | under | 37.5 | 1.91 | +13.2% | 36 | WIN |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 43.5 | 1.89 | +12.9% | 77 | WIN |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 1.90 | +12.9% | 10 | WIN |
| Terry McLaurin | Washington Commanders | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.82 | +12.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.93 | +10.6% | 69 | WIN |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 92.5 | 1.91 | +9.6% | 128 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 2.29 | +4.5% | 4 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 36.5 | 1.88 | +4.1% | 33 | LOSS |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 89.5 | 1.91 | +3.6% | 128 | WIN |
| Stefon Diggs | Washington Commanders | Receiving Yards | over | 38.5 | 1.90 | +1.6% | 33 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Washington Commanders or Seattle Seahawksthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles | 21 | 47.6% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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