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NFL · Mon, Oct 26, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks
Final score: Kansas City Chiefs 3 · 20 Seattle Seahawks. 30 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Royals | Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving Yards | under | 21.5 | 1.86 | +83.2% | 0 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.08 | +69.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Jalen Royals | Kansas City Chiefs | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.62 | +57.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Velus Jones Jr. | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.90 | +55.3% | 8 | WIN |
| Emmett Johnson | Kansas City Chiefs | Rushing Yards | over | 8.5 | 1.84 | +48.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.72 | +44.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Xavier Worthy | Kansas City Chiefs | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.86 | +44.2% | 3 | WIN |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Passing Yards | over | 218.5 | 1.90 | +40.1% | 165 | LOSS |
| Noah Gray | Kansas City Chiefs | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.45 | +39.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.85 | +39.1% | 12 | LOSS |
| Xavier Worthy | Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving Yards | under | 48.5 | 1.91 | +36.7% | 11 | WIN |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 7.5 | 1.85 | +35.9% | 15 | LOSS |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 13.5 | 1.91 | +29.3% | 11 | WIN |
| Noah Gray | Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving Yards | under | 16.5 | 1.89 | +26.4% | 44 | LOSS |
| Kenneth Walker III | Kansas City Chiefs | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.66 | +21.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.60 | +18.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 51.5 | 1.88 | +15.4% | 100 | LOSS |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 23.5 | 1.90 | +15.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 92.5 | 1.88 | +14.4% | 150 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.69 | +14.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing Yards | over | 223.5 | 1.90 | +13.0% | 257 | WIN |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.65 | +12.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Cyrus Allen | Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving Yards | over | 7.5 | 1.90 | +11.6% | 18 | WIN |
| Kenneth Walker III | Kansas City Chiefs | Rushing Yards | under | 80.5 | 1.87 | +9.0% | 36 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.69 | +7.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Kenneth Walker III | Kansas City Chiefs | Receiving Yards | under | 21.5 | 1.89 | +6.6% | 21 | WIN |
| Cyrus Allen | Kansas City Chiefs | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +5.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | over | 3.5 | 1.86 | +4.9% | 17 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 24.5 | 1.88 | +3.2% | 20 | LOSS |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 7.5 | 2.13 | +1.3% | 9 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Seattle Seahawks or Kansas City Chiefs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs | 36 | 55.6% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos | 35 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks | 22 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders | 23 | 34.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks | 27 | 46.2% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders | 31 | 77.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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