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MLB · Sun, Sep 20, 2026
Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds
Final score: Chicago Cubs 9 · 1 Cincinnati Reds. 12 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 1.65 | +5.9% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sal Stewart | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.62 | +32.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Elly De La Cruz | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.98 | +25.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.60 | +18.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.34 | +14.4% | 2 | WIN |
| Rhett Lowder | Cincinnati Reds | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 1.88 | +8.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Michael Busch | Chicago Cubs | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.69 | +6.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.47 | +6.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Alex Bregman | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.45 | +6.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Seiya Suzuki | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.39 | +2.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.30 | +1.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | Chicago Cubs | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.42 | +1.3% | 3 | LOSS |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Cincinnati Reds or Chicago Cubs that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres | 27 | 25.9% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 11 | 72.7% | View → |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 26 | 50.0% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays | 9 | 44.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs | 20 | 40.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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