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MLB · Sat, Oct 3, 2026
New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Final score: New York Yankees 0 · 1 Tampa Bay Rays. 23 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Lombard Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.12 | +69.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.66 | +63.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Cody Bellinger | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.68 | +56.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Liam Hicks | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.56 | +55.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Yandy Diaz | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.44 | +45.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Luis Garcia Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +45.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trent Grisham | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.74 | +45.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.09 | +37.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.67 | +36.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ryan McMahon | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.69 | +36.5% | 0 | LOSS |
| Spencer Jones | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.55 | +33.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +28.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Taylor Walls | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.64 | +22.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Junior Caminero | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +19.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Gerrit Cole | New York Yankees | Strikeouts | over | 5.5 | 2.23 | +17.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.45 | +13.4% | 1 | LOSS |
| Drew Rasmussen | Tampa Bay Rays | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.68 | +8.9% | 10 | LOSS |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | Tampa Bay Rays | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.97 | +6.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 1.78 | +5.5% | 1 | LOSS |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.31 | +5.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Richie Palacios | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.03 | +5.0% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Aranda | Tampa Bay Rays | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.59 | +1.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Ben Rice | New York Yankees | Hits | under | 0.5 | 2.65 | +0.5% | 0 | WIN |
Recent MLB games for these teams
Other games involving Tampa Bay Rays or New York Yankeesthat we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Sep 30, 2026 | Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees | 32 | 28.1% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 29.4% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies | 11 | 45.5% | View → |
| Fri, Sep 25, 2026 | Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees | 23 | 52.2% | View → |
| Thu, Sep 24, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 11 | 36.4% | View → |
| Wed, Sep 23, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees | 5 | 60.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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