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Private North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.orgPrivate North American Sports ConsultingLimited AccessNBA · NHL · NFL · MLBVerified Track Record · 2026 YTDBy Application OnlySports betting carries real risk · Past results don’t guarantee future ones18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
NFL · Sun, Oct 18, 2026

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Final score: Pittsburgh Steelers 26 · 19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 33 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score26 · 19
Tracked picks33
Hit rate54.5%
Decided / Wins33 / 18

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Game Totalover38.51.85+4.5%WIN
Spreadhome2.51.95+0.1%LOSS
Moneylinehome02.24+0.0%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Rico DowdlePittsburgh SteelersRushing Yardsover21.51.92+59.2%40WIN
Ted Hurst IIITampa Bay BuccaneersReceptionsover1.52.57+56.6%3WIN
Germie BernardPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder44.51.90+55.7%87LOSS
Rico DowdlePittsburgh SteelersReceptionsover1.52.02+55.3%3WIN
Ted Hurst IIITampa Bay BuccaneersReceiving Yardsover11.51.88+54.6%40WIN
Ted Hurst IIITampa Bay BuccaneersReceiving Yardsover12.51.90+53.7%40WIN
Germie BernardPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder42.51.88+50.1%87LOSS
Germie BernardPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder4.51.70+44.9%11LOSS
Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder3.52.00+39.8%2WIN
Aaron RodgersPittsburgh SteelersRushing Yardsover0.51.93+34.8%0LOSS
Rico DowdlePittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsover8.51.96+34.8%9WIN
Rico DowdlePittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsover7.51.90+34.4%9WIN
DK MetcalfPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder52.51.88+29.4%93LOSS
Darnell WashingtonPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder2.52.09+28.4%4LOSS
DK MetcalfPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder51.51.89+28.2%93LOSS
Pat FreiermuthPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder3.51.90+26.2%2WIN
Cade OttonTampa Bay BuccaneersReceptionsover3.52.20+21.3%1LOSS
Pat FreiermuthPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder36.51.92+20.3%11WIN
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay BuccaneersReceptionsover1.51.56+17.0%2WIN
Emeka EgbukaTampa Bay BuccaneersReceptionsunder3.52.08+16.8%7LOSS
Pat FreiermuthPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder35.51.92+16.7%11WIN
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay BuccaneersRushing Yardsunder68.51.87+10.0%46WIN
Darnell WashingtonPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder25.51.93+9.6%25WIN
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay BuccaneersRushing Yardsunder66.51.87+5.6%46WIN
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay BuccaneersReceiving Yardsover10.51.92+3.7%3LOSS
DK MetcalfPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder4.51.61+3.7%11LOSS
Cade OttonTampa Bay BuccaneersReceiving Yardsunder30.51.89+2.1%4WIN
Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh SteelersRushing Yardsover60.51.89+1.7%50LOSS
Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh SteelersReceiving Yardsunder28.51.91+0.2%28WIN
DK MetcalfPittsburgh SteelersReceptionsunder3.52.23+0.0%11LOSS

Recent NFL games for these teams

Other games involving Tampa Bay Buccaneers or Pittsburgh Steelers that we’ve published picks for.

DateMatchupPicksHit rate
Sun, Oct 11, 2026Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers3348.5%View →
Fri, Oct 9, 2026Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys2462.5%View →
Sun, Oct 4, 2026Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers3552.9%View →
Fri, Oct 2, 2026Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns3652.8%View →
Sun, Sep 27, 2026Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers3148.4%View →
Sun, Sep 27, 2026Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers5048.0%View →

Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET

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