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NBA · Thu, Oct 29, 2026
Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves
Final score: Golden State Warriors 119 · 114 Minnesota Timberwolves. 18 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | home | -3.5 | 1.91 | +10.8% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 229.5 | 1.93 | +1.3% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 17.5 | 1.86 | +73.0% | 19 | LOSS |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 16.5 | 1.83 | +69.4% | 17 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | under | 15.5 | 1.96 | +48.5% | 20 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 5.5 | 1.93 | +47.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Stephen Curry | Golden State Warriors | Assists | over | 4.5 | 2.16 | +47.1% | 6 | WIN |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 10.5 | 2.01 | +31.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Stephen Curry | Golden State Warriors | Rebounds | over | 2.5 | 1.59 | +31.2% | 8 | WIN |
| Rudy Gobert | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 11.5 | 1.95 | +28.8% | 4 | WIN |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | under | 4.5 | 1.76 | +28.4% | 3 | WIN |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.99 | +28.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| Jonathan Kuminga | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 2.5 | 1.93 | +24.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Ayo Dosunmu | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 4.5 | 1.86 | +13.9% | 4 | WIN |
| Jaden McDaniels | Minnesota Timberwolves | Rebounds | over | 4.5 | 1.69 | +12.9% | 7 | WIN |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Assists | under | 7.5 | 1.79 | +12.5% | 8 | LOSS |
| Stephen Curry | Golden State Warriors | Points | under | 24.5 | 1.82 | +11.8% | 44 | LOSS |
| LaMelo Ball | Minnesota Timberwolves | Points | over | 22.5 | 1.89 | +4.0% | 8 | LOSS |
Recent NBA games for these teams
Other games involving Minnesota Timberwolves or Golden State Warriors that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 26, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers | 29 | 44.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 25, 2026 | Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves | 25 | 48.0% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 23, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at Orlando Magic | 23 | 47.8% | View → |
| Sat, May 16, 2026 | San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves | 53 | 52.8% | View → |
| Wed, May 13, 2026 | Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs | 60 | 60.0% | View → |
| Sun, May 10, 2026 | San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves | 61 | 62.3% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NBA edges drop at 01:00 ET
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