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NFL · Fri, Oct 16, 2026
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos
Final score: Seattle Seahawks 14 · 17 Denver Broncos. 35 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | over | 0.5 | 3.97 | +88.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.94 | +59.0% | 0 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.94 | +53.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 66.5 | 1.91 | +50.0% | 52 | WIN |
| Emanuel Wilson | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +46.9% | 0 | WIN |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 47.5 | 1.88 | +44.0% | 41 | LOSS |
| RJ Harvey | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.89 | +40.4% | 25 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 9.5 | 1.88 | +40.4% | 0 | WIN |
| George Holani | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 14.5 | 1.85 | +35.8% | 20 | LOSS |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +30.0% | 2 | WIN |
| Tory Horton | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +28.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.74 | +22.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.87 | +20.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 2.51 | +18.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | under | 20.5 | 1.90 | +16.5% | 66 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.65 | +16.1% | 4 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 2.5 | 1.77 | +13.7% | 3 | WIN |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 2.20 | +13.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 32.5 | 1.90 | +13.1% | 19 | LOSS |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 92.5 | 1.90 | +12.7% | 134 | WIN |
| Tory Horton | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 3.5 | 1.88 | +11.6% | 13 | WIN |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.51 | +11.1% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 47.5 | 1.88 | +9.7% | 24 | WIN |
| Cooper Kupp | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 21.5 | 1.90 | +7.2% | 50 | WIN |
| AJ Barner | Seattle Seahawks | Receiving Yards | over | 23.5 | 1.88 | +6.1% | 16 | LOSS |
| RJ Harvey | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 20.5 | 1.89 | +5.9% | 31 | WIN |
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 17.5 | 1.92 | +5.8% | 2 | LOSS |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Passing Yards | over | 200.5 | 1.88 | +5.0% | 107 | LOSS |
| Rashid Shaheed | Seattle Seahawks | Rushing Yards | under | 1.5 | 1.91 | +5.0% | 2 | LOSS |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.15 | +4.9% | 2 | LOSS |
| Sam Darnold | Seattle Seahawks | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.61 | +3.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +3.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 10.5 | 1.88 | +2.9% | 13 | LOSS |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 4.5 | 1.94 | +1.9% | 5 | LOSS |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Seattle Seahawks | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 1.77 | +1.4% | 12 | WIN |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Denver Broncos or Seattle Seahawks that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks | 22 | 50.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers | 25 | 56.0% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks | 27 | 46.2% | View → |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos | 46 | 56.5% | View → |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders | 31 | 77.4% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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