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NFL · Sun, Oct 25, 2026
Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals
Final score: Denver Broncos 30 · 16 Arizona Cardinals. 35 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | away | 4.5 | 1.91 | +3.5% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 43.5 | 2.00 | +0.1% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brooks | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.92 | +68.9% | 35 | LOSS |
| Jalen Brooks | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.88 | +66.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 4.5 | 2.00 | +52.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| Kendrick Bourne | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | under | 3.5 | 1.73 | +46.0% | 3 | WIN |
| Kendrick Bourne | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 33.5 | 1.90 | +41.2% | 9 | WIN |
| RJ Harvey | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.90 | +39.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Rushing Yards | over | 49.5 | 1.92 | +35.5% | 23 | LOSS |
| Michael Wilson | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 47.5 | 1.89 | +34.6% | 55 | WIN |
| Marvin Mims Jr. | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 15.5 | 1.93 | +30.1% | 53 | LOSS |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.64 | +29.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 4.5 | 1.85 | +29.2% | 4 | WIN |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Passing TDs | under | 1.5 | 1.75 | +28.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.88 | +28.2% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing Yards | over | 225.5 | 1.88 | +25.5% | 272 | WIN |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Rushing Yards | under | 30.5 | 1.88 | +24.4% | 19 | WIN |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Passing TDs | over | 1.5 | 2.42 | +23.7% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jaylen Waddle | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 51.5 | 1.88 | +23.5% | 48 | WIN |
| Adam Trautman | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 0.5 | 1.99 | +20.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jacoby Brissett | Arizona Cardinals | Rushing Yards | over | 6.5 | 1.84 | +19.1% | 16 | WIN |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 6.5 | 1.67 | +17.5% | 10 | WIN |
| Trey McBride | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 62.5 | 1.91 | +14.3% | 111 | WIN |
| Elijah Higgins | Arizona Cardinals | Receptions | over | 1.5 | 1.97 | +13.1% | 3 | WIN |
| Bo Nix | Denver Broncos | Passing Yards | under | 217.5 | 1.90 | +12.4% | 222 | LOSS |
| Tyler Allgeier | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | under | 11.5 | 1.85 | +12.0% | 30 | LOSS |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 22.5 | 1.90 | +7.1% | 2 | WIN |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receptions | over | 3.5 | 2.30 | +6.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| Troy Franklin | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 14.5 | 1.85 | +4.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adam Trautman | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | over | 0.5 | 2.01 | +3.4% | 0 | LOSS |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +2.5% | 0 | WIN |
| J.K. Dobbins | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 4.5 | 1.93 | +1.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Evan Engram | Denver Broncos | Receptions | under | 2.5 | 1.93 | +1.4% | 1 | WIN |
| Elijah Higgins | Arizona Cardinals | Receiving Yards | over | 12.5 | 1.92 | +0.8% | 17 | WIN |
| Courtland Sutton | Denver Broncos | Receiving Yards | under | 34.5 | 1.91 | +0.6% | 45 | LOSS |
Recent NFL games for these teams
Other games involving Arizona Cardinals or Denver Broncos that we’ve published picks for.
| Date | Matchup | Picks | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams | 34 | 35.3% | View → |
| Fri, Oct 16, 2026 | Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos | 35 | 57.1% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals | 28 | 39.3% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers | 18 | 55.6% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants | 32 | 43.8% | View → |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers | 25 | 56.0% | View → |
Tomorrow’s NFL edges drop at 01:00 ET
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