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MLB · Thu, May 7, 2026

Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins

Final score: Baltimore Orioles 34 Miami Marlins. 47 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.

Final score34
Tracked picks47
Hit rate53.2%
Decided / Wins47 / 25

Match line picks

The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.

MarketPickLineOddsEVResult
Moneylineaway02.09+0.3%LOSS

Player prop picks

Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.

PlayerTeamStatPickLineOddsEVActualResult
Jeremiah JacksonBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.53.90+88.5%0LOSS
Liam HicksMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.15+82.6%2WIN
Liam HicksMiami MarlinsHitsunder1.52.20+63.8%1WIN
Heriberto HernandezMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.52+47.8%0WIN
Samuel BasalloBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.53.60+41.1%0LOSS
Coby MayoBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.54.10+40.7%0LOSS
Pete AlonsoBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.53.30+38.1%1WIN
Dylan BeaversBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.54.00+36.2%0LOSS
Gunnar HendersonBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.53.30+36.1%1WIN
Heriberto HernandezMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.70+33.3%0LOSS
Esteury RuizMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.70+30.6%0LOSS
Kyle StowersMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.97+30.0%0WIN
Javier SanojaMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.67+25.3%0WIN
Gunnar HendersonBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.89+24.7%1LOSS
Liam HicksMiami MarlinsRBIsunder2.51.31+23.5%2WIN
Leo JimenezMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.08+22.5%0WIN
Connor NorbyMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.55+21.9%1LOSS
Tyler O'NeillBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.54.40+21.5%1WIN
Jakob MarseeMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.43+20.1%0WIN
Colton CowserBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.51.88+18.5%0WIN
Esteury RuizMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.12+17.7%0WIN
Pete AlonsoBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.66+16.9%1LOSS
Blaze AlexanderBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.21+16.4%0WIN
Otto LopezMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.10+15.0%0LOSS
Christopher MorelMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.33+14.1%0WIN
Taylor WardBaltimore OriolesHitsover0.51.80+12.3%0LOSS
Taylor WardBaltimore OriolesRBIsover0.53.60+12.0%0LOSS
Coby MayoBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.51.87+12.0%2LOSS
Dylan BeaversBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.24+10.9%2LOSS
Samuel BasalloBaltimore OriolesHitsover0.51.91+10.6%1WIN
Kyle StowersMiami MarlinsRBIsunder0.51.39+9.9%0WIN
Jeremiah JacksonBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.43+7.7%1LOSS
Max MeyerMiami MarlinsStrikeoutsunder5.52.09+7.0%5WIN
Otto LopezMiami MarlinsHitsover0.51.51+6.7%2WIN
Blaze AlexanderBaltimore OriolesRBIsunder0.51.29+6.7%0WIN
Christopher MorelMiami MarlinsHitsover0.52.05+4.6%0LOSS
Connor NorbyMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.40+4.4%1WIN
Christopher MorelMiami MarlinsRBIsunder0.51.42+3.7%0WIN
Otto LopezMiami MarlinsHitsover1.52.98+3.5%2WIN
Pete AlonsoBaltimore OriolesHitsover0.51.83+2.6%1WIN
Samuel BasalloBaltimore OriolesHitsunder0.52.42+1.9%1LOSS
Cade PovichBaltimore OriolesStrikeoutsover4.51.82+1.8%1LOSS
Javier SanojaMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.15+1.6%0LOSS
Dylan BeaversBaltimore OriolesHitsover0.52.00+1.0%2WIN
Jakob MarseeMiami MarlinsRBIsover0.53.60+0.5%0LOSS
Liam HicksMiami MarlinsHitsunder0.52.66+0.2%1LOSS

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