MLB · Fri, May 8, 2026
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Colorado Rockies 9 – 7 Philadelphia Phillies. 16 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.89 | +16.2% | WIN |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +2.7% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.03 | +60.9% | 1 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +60.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.89 | +56.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Jesus Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 2.16 | +50.5% | 6 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +34.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.25 | +30.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.58 | +15.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.44 | +9.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +8.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.57 | +5.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.49 | +5.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Brenton Doyle | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.23 | +3.6% | 0 | WIN |
| Chase Dollander | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | under | 5.5 | 1.84 | +1.3% | 5 | WIN |
| Chase Dollander | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.61 | +0.3% | 5 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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