MLB · Sat, May 9, 2026
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Colorado Rockies 3 – 9 Philadelphia Phillies. 22 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 2.89 | +16.2% | LOSS |
| Game Total | over | 7.5 | 2.02 | +2.5% | WIN |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.00 | +64.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.79 | +54.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.68 | +53.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.37 | +36.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.14 | +36.0% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.95 | +30.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.61 | +24.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +22.5% | 3 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.91 | +15.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Edmundo Sosa | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +15.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.50 | +15.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.27 | +14.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Freeland | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 4.5 | 1.90 | +13.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 6.5 | 1.67 | +11.9% | 4 | WIN |
| TJ Rumfield | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +7.2% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.95 | +6.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +4.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.65 | +3.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.50 | +2.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.51 | +1.5% | 1 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
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