MLB · Sun, May 10, 2026
Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies
Final score: Colorado Rockies 0 – 6 Philadelphia Phillies. 40 positive-EV NotaSportsGuru picks tracked for this game across match lines and player props, with the lines we played and the outcomes that followed.
Match line picks
The model’s positive-EV picks on totals, spreads and moneylines for this game.
| Market | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | away | 0 | 3.44 | +25.6% | LOSS |
Player prop picks
Every player prop the model rated positive expected value for this game, with the recommended side, the line and the actual stat.
| Player | Team | Stat | Pick | Line | Odds | EV | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 10.50 | +319.8% | 0 | LOSS |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 5.75 | +170.3% | 0 | LOSS |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 6.00 | +163.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.40 | +97.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 2.50 | +85.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Mickey Moniak | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +82.7% | 1 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.40 | +81.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 4.53 | +80.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.85 | +77.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Edouard Julien | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 2.00 | +62.8% | 0 | WIN |
| Justin Crawford | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +61.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Karros | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 3.10 | +52.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tyler Freeman | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 3.74 | +50.0% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.87 | +48.1% | 0 | WIN |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.50 | +42.7% | 0 | LOSS |
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Colorado Rockies | Strikeouts | over | 3.5 | 2.18 | +39.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 7.5 | 1.85 | +24.5% | 7 | WIN |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.49 | +23.8% | 1 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | over | 0.5 | 2.70 | +23.7% | 2 | WIN |
| Alec Bohm | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.55 | +23.1% | 1 | WIN |
| Cristopher Sanchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Strikeouts | under | 8.5 | 1.55 | +22.7% | 7 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.15 | +22.1% | 0 | LOSS |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 3.5 | 1.23 | +21.8% | 3 | WIN |
| Brenton Doyle | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 2.76 | +19.6% | 0 | LOSS |
| Willi Castro | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.22 | +12.9% | 0 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.46 | +12.3% | 1 | WIN |
| Ezequiel Tovar | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.30 | +11.6% | 2 | LOSS |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.40 | +11.3% | 0 | WIN |
| Kyle Schwarber | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 2.5 | 1.13 | +10.2% | 2 | WIN |
| Troy Johnston | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.70 | +8.9% | 0 | LOSS |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 1.5 | 1.13 | +7.5% | 1 | WIN |
| Adolis Garcia | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.53 | +5.7% | 0 | WIN |
| Brenton Doyle | Colorado Rockies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.23 | +4.0% | 0 | WIN |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.74 | +3.9% | 1 | WIN |
| Bryce Harper | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.38 | +3.6% | 1 | WIN |
| Trea Turner | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.45 | +2.3% | 1 | LOSS |
| Jake McCarthy | Colorado Rockies | Hits | under | 1.5 | 1.20 | +0.9% | 1 | WIN |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | RBIs | under | 0.5 | 1.50 | +0.5% | 0 | WIN |
| Brandon Marsh | Philadelphia Phillies | Hits | over | 0.5 | 1.49 | +0.1% | 4 | WIN |
Tomorrow’s MLB edges drop at 01:00 ET
Members receive the daily Parlay of the Day plus every positive-EV pick the model generates across NBA, MLB and NHL match lines and player props. Membership is by application.